bayes

Yi.t
t에 하나라도 생산되면 1
아니면 0

제약 조건 추가
Pi.t <= M(큰수) * yi.t


https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/188319/bayes-theorem-with-multiple-conditions



https://www.analyticsvidhya.com/blog/2016/06/bayesian-statistics-beginners-simple-english/